One More Chance for the French Left

James Cohen*

    After their unexpected but decisive victory in legislative elections June 1st, the French Socialist Party and its coalition partners, including the Communist Party and the Greens, formed a government and settled down to the difficult business of governing, under the leadership of Socialist Prime Minister Lionel Jospin.

    It is widely expected - though not yet confirmed - that the new government will suspend the closing of the Renault automobile works' plant in Vilvorde, in the outskirts of Brussels, where 3000 layoffs were announced in early March, provoking vigorous workers resistance and some exemplary displays of international solidarity.

    European financial markets are reportedly uneasy in the wake of the left victory. Several privatizations of large nationalized corporations, in the works under the former government, will be suspended. The Socialists are firm supporters of the common European currency, but they may modify its implementation schedule. The "Euro" is supposed to take effect in 1999.

    The Socialists are also likely to defer or modify the European "convergence criteria" which, under JuppE, resulted in strenuous efforts to bring the national budget deficit to below 3% of the gross domestic product.

    Repressive anti-immigrant laws passed in 1993 under conservative Interior Minister Charles Pasqua should normally be repealed within several months - if the socialists keeps their promise on this sensitive issue.

    The tactic of early parliamentary elections backfired spectacularly on President Jacques Chirac. The left won 319 seats out of 577, including 245 for the Socialist Party, 39 for the Communists, 7 for the Greens (their first seats ever) and 24 for other left-of-center candidates.

    The Socialists' exceptional efforts to promote women candidates has lifted the percentage of female deputies to over 10% for the first time. France is notorious as one of the European countries with the worst records in admitting women to the circles of power.

    The right salvaged only 258 seats out of 477. Nearly all of these are held by the UDF (Union for French Democracy, 108 seats) and the neo-Gaullist RPR (Rally for the Republic, 140 seats), but the racist National Front did manage one victory, in the Mediterranean coastal city of Toulon - already a bastion of far-right strength.

    A desperate battle for succession has begun at the head of the two major conservative parties, which were severely destabilized by their defeat. The internal battle in the RPR pits current party president Alain JuppE, the big loser in these elections, against Philippe Seguin, who would no doubt have been prime minsiter had the right won. Seguin, who has many backers, has the image of being more concerned with the social consequences of free-market economics than JuppE.

    Although it may look as though French politics is a quirky game, veering from one extreme to the other every few years, in fact the concerns expressed by voters have been quite consistent: unemployment, security and the erosion of welfare-state benefits are at the top of most peoples' list of worries. It was because Alain JuppE's government was so overtly unresponsive to these concerns that the left was given another chance.

    Prime Minister Jospin will have to "cohabit" with a president of the opposite camp - the third such experience since 1986, although this is the first time it has involved a left-wing government and a conservative president. This scenario was not anticipated by Charles De Gaullt and other the founders of the Fifth French Republic in 1958, but it is not expected to provoke major problems. Chirac will probably let the left govern as it sees fits in the domestic area while continuing to exercize strong prerogatives in foreign policy.

    The new government reflects a new diversity on the French left. It includes two Communist ministers, one Green, one dissident (anti-Maastricht) socialist and three members of the center-left Radical Socialst Party. It features several women in high-ranking positions. Martine Aubry, daughter of former European Commissioner Jacques Delors, will be Minister of Labor, which she also occupied in the early 90s. Elisabeth Guigou has been named Minister of Justice while Strasbourg mayor Catherine Trautmann will run the Ministry of Culture and Communications. Communist Jean-Claude Gayssot is the new Minister of Transport and Housing. Another Communist, Marie-George Buffet (a woman), will be in charge of the Ministry of Youth and Sports. Jean-Pierre Chevenement, a veteran statesman who disagrees with the socialists' European policy, will run the Ministry of the Interior. (Some may remember Chevenement as the Defense Minister who resigned in protest against the Gulf War in 1991.)

    Green leader Dominique Voynet, architect of her party's coalition with the socialists, will head a ministry that combines environmental policy with territorial organization. The strategic post of Minister of Economy and Finance and Industry will be held by Dominique Strauss-Kahn, a key advisor to Jospin. (He is a male although he has the same first name as Voynet; Dominique is one of those unisex French first names, like Claude.)

    Leaders on the left are keenly aware that the new government cannot afford to disappoint its supporters, as occurred several times the 80s, because this time the consequences could be disastrous. The National Front, with its 15% support nationally, could begin to make even more serious inroads in French institutions if voters' concerns are not met with decisive action.



* James Cohen is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Paris VIII (St. Denis).  Article previously published in "In These Times" (Chicago)

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