Featured Issue: 5-9-05 UPDATED 6-14-05
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Michigan: Having trouble reporting consistent "Sex Offender" registry statistics:
What is the truth?
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5-9-2005 Michigan:
Thousands missing from state sex offender registry |
.Nearly one-quarter of sex offenders are not listed on the state's complete registry because they have not updated authorities on their whereabouts, Michigan State Police say. [snip]
Of Michigan's 36,748 registered sex offenders on the state's complete registry, which is available only to law enforcement, nearly 9,000 -- or 24 percent -- have stopped checking in with local law enforcement agencies or have not provided their current address. The public registry has fewer names because juveniles and certain other offenders are not listed. [snip]
The U.S. Department of Justice says 5 percent of sex offenders are arrested for another sex crime within three years of their release from prison, a rate four times higher than that of non-sex offenders.
: by Detroit Free Press
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There is a major discrepancy in what is being reported to the public which is reported to come from the Michigan State Police. Today's report shows 9,000 sex offenders missing. However, recent reports by the same people are as follows:
REPORTED:
On 4-25-2005 the Michigan State Police reported: "As of April 2005, there were 36,748 offenders in the SOR. Of those, 2,344 were juveniles and 11,882 were incarcerated. On average, 200 new offenders are added to the SOR per month. The Michigan SOR has a compliance rate of approximately 76 percent. Those offenders not in compliance either failed to change their address or failed to verify their address."
On 5-4-2005 Lt Col Tom Miller, in charge of the registry reported: "The state admits its lost track of 2200 sex offenders. Their compliance rate is 74%. Going by school grades, that's a "C" Lt. Col. Tom Miller said, “Truthfully, you are right, the number of 74 % compliance isn't what we'd like to see. We'd like to see that higher but it does become a resource issue."
INCONSISTENCY:
Obviously we need to subtract those in prison from the number used to calculate percentages; we do presume they are still in prison. Therefore, 36,748 less those in prison (11,882) means the state police are tracking 24,846 registrants.
Now, according to Lt Col Tom Miller's report of 5-4-2005 the state lost track of 2,200. Therefore, 2,200 / 24,846 = 8.8% and when subtracted from 100% means that 91.2% are in compliance.
This leaves one wondering whether there are 2,200 -OR- 6,460 (allowing for those in prison) that the state has lost track of?
INCOMPLETE INFORMATION:
A second point about this news article is, while it has correctly reported that, 5% are REARRESTED within 3-years of release, it has failed to show the following:
That same study also reported, that 1.3% of non-sex offenders are REARRESTED for a NEW sex offense within 3-years of release.
Here is the point, that study showed 9,691 sex offenders released, 5% (actually 5.3%) committed another sex offense, which means 517 new sex offenses.
However, the study shows 262,420 non-sex offenders released, 1.3% committed a sex offense, which means 3,328 new sex offenses committed by non-sex offenders. pg-24 of that study.
DANGEROUSNESS:
Accordingly, non-sex offenders are more dangerous to the community because they committed 87% of the new sex offenses (pg-24), while sex offenders committed 13% of the new sex offenses.
Finally, more important is, that the majority of the sex offenders had completed therapy and are less likely to commit future offenses, while the non-sex offenders had no therapy and are more likely to commit another sex offense.
All of the recent murders of little children in 3-states, were committed by persons who either refused to take therapy (Idaho & Iowa), or the state failed to provide a therapy program for them in prison (Florida).
Wake up John Q. Public!
eAdvocate (Copyright 2005 - All Rights Reserved)
6-14-05: Michigan has now began updating their registry statistics "quarterly following mandated verification periods" and are rounding the numbers.
On 6-1-2005 the Michigan State Police reported: As of April 30, 2005, there were 36,900 offenders in the SOR. Of those, 2,400 were juveniles and 11,900 were incarcerated. On average, 200 new offenders are added to the SOR per month. The Michigan SOR has a compliance rate of approximately 66 percent. Those offenders not in compliance either failed to change their address or failed to verify their address.
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