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News & Views

Marx's prophesy haunts world capitalist economy
BY JEFF MACKLER

"Improvement in Bottom Lines Is Raising All Economic Hopes," reads an optimistic Oct. 21 New York Times front-page headline. The exuberant writer, Jonathan Fuerbringer, reporting on a portion of the just-released third-quarter "bottom line" earnings figures, proclaims, "After a long nightmare on Wall Street, the latest profit figures from corporate America have been the stuff of investors’ dreams."

But Fuerbringer's nightmare-turned-sweet-dream scenario failed to materialize as the pumped-up stock market plummeted almost 250 points in the next three days, after big picture earnings reports pointed to profit stagnation and decline.

As it turns out, several corporations—including former fiber optic cable giant Lucent Technologies, which hasn't reported a profit in years—had manipulated their accounting practices to again hype their "bottom line."

Lucent decided to change its accounting procedures from last year's "pro-forma basis" to its current "generally accepted" procedure. The result was that Lucent's hyped figures last year, when it falsely reported losses of only $2 billion as opposed to its actual loss of $3 billion, made its third quarter loss of $150 million look better by comparison.

Lucent's "bottom line" was "improved" on paper by a statistical manipulation as opposed to by actual earnings. The Lucent manipulation alone accounts for a significant part of the so-called dream-like 21 percent earnings improvement. Any analysis of the data must therefore begin by knocking off 4 percent from these already inflated figures. But there's more.

Another chunk of the "improvement," according to The Times and all other sources, is directly attributable to massive government giveaways to corporations in the form of tax cuts, like the near trillion-dollar boost orchestrated by the Bush administration. Free money from its government servants never fails to boost corporate bottom lines.

Finally, says The Times, a full two-thirds of the "improvement" comes from the financial services and energy industries, where low interest rate refinancing temporarily boosted earnings, as did increased fuel costs imposed by the corporate energy gougers through a complex series of manipulations of U.S. and world market prices.

Real bottom line? Overall profits continue to stagnate and decline as massive worldwide competition, saturated world markets, and historic overproduction make it increasingly difficult for the boss class to keep its factory doors open and make a buck at the same time.

Smoke and mirror statistical maneuvering has failed to hide the reality. Lucent's fiber optic cable competitor, JDS Uniphase, for example, reported $40 billion in third-quarter losses three years ago, the largest single quarterly loss in world history, at least to that point.

The broad crash since then has demonstrated that Lucent and JDSU were not alone in registering historic lows. JDSU's stock declined from $153.42 per share to its current price of $3.79. Lucent fell from $64.47 to $2.82 during the same period.

But when Lucent lost only $150 million in the past three months (since it didn't have much more to lose) as compared to $2-3 billion the same time last year, it was able to register an "impressive" improvement! One more such "improvement" may well put Lucent out of business completely. For now its great progress in losing only $150 million this past quarter serves to tweak the already fudged quarterly "earnings" figures.

“A glut of factories”

"U.S. Overcapacity Stalls New Jobs" is another recent front-page Times headline that reveals capitalism's deepening crisis. "On average," the Oct. 19 story reports, "[U.S.] manufacturers are using less than 73 percent of their capacity."

"Struggling to get rid of this costly glut," the article continues, "many companies shut plants and lay off workers, as the Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company is doing in Huntsville, Ala., where it is closing a tire plant that employs 1100 people. Other companies have consolidated operations in one or two sites instead of a dozen as Proctor and Gamble has done in the production of detergents, eliminating workers in the process."

Overall, the U.S. economy has lost 2.8 million jobs (the official figure) in the past two and a half years, with more to come. Some analysts put the figure at three million.

The "glut of factories" has made industry "loath to hire," the article continues. Proctor aimed to solve its problems, a decline in sales from $50 billion to this year's figure of $43.4 billion, by a combination of plant closures, consolidations, and contracting out a portion of its unused space to non-union outfits that are not in competition with Proctor. The result has been a continued loss of jobs and reduced wages. The pattern is repeated throughout the economy.

Levi Strauss Company, formerly the world's top blue jeans manufacturer, just announced that its last U.S. plant, in Texas, will be closed. Over the years Strauss, to remain competitive, has outsourced its production to some 50 low-wage nations. With 200 competitors now challenging its "market share," Strauss's self-proclaimed “progressive” officials claim that they have no option. Its final unionized plant will be closed, with the remaining 1000 workers losing everything, including their decades of seniority and health-care plans.

The major U.S. auto manufacturers, some of the most powerful in the world, similarly find themselves hard pressed to compete in a world glutted with modern plants that become obsolete almost before completion. The Big Three automakers project selling 17 million cars and trucks this year. They also expect to register zero rates of profit—and often losses.

Ford's third-quarter loses were $25 million. They would have been greater had it not been for an admittedly temporary gain registered in its credit unit. The most significant of losses came in the U.S. market itself, where both foreign and U.S. competitors offered large rebates and zero financing, reducing profits to negative figures.

"Cost cutting," Ford's euphemism for layoffs, plant consolidations, and wage and fringe benefit reductions, according to Ford's chairman, William Clay Ford Jr., continue to show "significant progress."

Heightened competition for retail giants

The supermarket industry is owned by some of the world's richest corporations, which have for decades dominated the relatively weak, if not corrupt, unions that have organized the basic workforce. Today, however, these once mighty enterprises are being challenged by even greater giants, like Wal-Mart, whose 1397 national supercenters account for 19 percent of the nation's grocery sales. By 2008 the addition of 1000 new Wal-Mart stores is expected to boost the figure to 35 percent.

Wal-Mart is the world’s largest retailer. Its 1.4 million low-paid no-union workers and its $245 billion in revenues account for close to three percent of the nation's gross domestic product.

In Southern California, some 70,000 supermarket workers have been on strike since Oct. 12, as several of the state's top multi-billion-dollar grocery chains—Ralph’s, Von’s, and Albertson’s (all owned by larger conglomerates)—seek to extract additional profits from their workers in anticipation of losing some $3.2 billion in sales when Wal-Mart begins opening the first of some 40 planned "supercenters" in California. Wal-Mart touts a study indicating that its prices will undercut the grocery industry by an estimated 13 percent.

The three grocery chains provoked the strike by insisting on a two-year wage freeze, a lower wage scale for new hires and increased worker contributions for health coverage.

Wal-Mart, as with virtually all low-wage, high-tech outfits, has already driven several major national grocery chains to bankruptcy. It's non-union workforce averages $8.50 an hour, as compared to the unionized grocery industry wage/fringe benefit package of $17.

Corporations face falling profit rates

The Wal-Mart phenomenon is repeated in every major industry in the U.S. and worldwide. Even the largest corporations are not safe from the iron law of capitalist rule-or-ruin competition. As the new behemoths and their predecessors battle to the end in search of life-sustaining profit, they leave in their wake a broad swath of devastation, at the expense of everything human—as well as the environment itself.

There are no exceptions to this brutal rule, as even the largest competitors find themselves engaged in international battles where the financial, if not military, resources of governments are put at their disposal.

General Electric, among the world's largest corporations, announced a third-quarter earnings decline of 11 percent in the face of frantic competition that has reduced profit rates to zero levels in some components of the G.E. operation. Where G.E. receives fantastic billions for government military contracts for which competition is minimal, profit levels are somewhat higher.

But G.E. suffers from the same contradictions inherent in the world capitalist system as a whole—constant pressure on profit rates arising from the never-ending need to introduce the next level of technology into the productive process.

The very mechanism that enables one monster industrial corporation to temporarily outdistance another—the substitution of machines for human labor power—in the end reduces average profit rates for all industries. This was explained by Marx long ago when he revealed in his labor theory of value that the source of profit itself is the exploitation of human labor power.

Simply put, no capitalist hires workers unless they can profit from the transaction. In modern capitalist production the drive to stay ahead of one's competitors forces all who want to remain in the game to introduce ever more revolutionary techniques into the productive process. But as sophisticated machines replace workers, the very source of a capitalist's profit declines.

This tendency, now an obvious reality, of the average rate of profit to decline is at the heart of the present worldwide crisis. G.E.'s announcement of massive losses is a case in point. It came at the same time that it revealed its list of new acquisitions. The latter are designed to make G.E., according to its spokespersons, "less dependent on old-line businesses [where profit rates are close to zero] and far more tied to fast growing ones like health care and communications."

"Some potentially bad news for smaller competitors," was the subheadline on an Oct. 11 New York Times article announcing G.E.'s $9.5 billion acquisition of Amerisham, a British medical corporation. G.E. plans to combine its state-of-the-art medical-imaging devices with Amerisham's pharmaceutical agents that are injected into the body to improve the quality of the pictures taken.

The end result will be a new industry with fewer competitors and higher profits—that is, until another behemoth enters the fray. In short order, this "new" industry will experience the same competition-driven pressure on profits.

To stay in the race, all will be compelled to introduce the next level of new and superior technology as they participate in the cyclical dance to their own downfall. In the meantime, G.E.’s obsolete plants, where profits cannot be made, will be closed to the detriment of its workers.

Obsolescence is the fate staring at another major corporate leader, Sun Microsystems, which reported its 10th consecutive quarterly loss. "We face an economic environment that has not improved and a difficult competitive landscape," said Steve McGowan, Sun's chief financial officer.

Sun drew criticism from industry analysts because "its current strategy and reluctance to drastically reduce its work force even more appears to be failing" [emphasis added]. Last month, Sun fired 1000 workers. In 2002 it fired 11 percent of its workforce. The problems facing this Santa Clara, Calif.-based company differ little from every major corporation in the U.S. and worldwide.

Carrier Corporation closed down its Syracuse, N.Y., plant and laid off its 1200 workers. "Simple business realities," said its company spokesman, forced the decision. Carrier manufactures refrigeration units for shipping containers, but 80 percent of these containers are now manufactured in Asia.

Carrier plans to locate its plant in Singapore rather than pay the cost of shipping its product 6000 miles away.

Syracuse has similarly lost 10,000 jobs, or 20 percent of its factory workers, over the past three years. Ruthless U.S. and international competition have produced similar results everywhere.

Marx on capitalism’s contradictions

Karl Marx, the founder of scientific socialism, was the first to systematically expose the inner workings of the capitalist system. He explained that capitalism's very strength, its capacity to constantly revolutionize the productive process, was also its fundamental weakness. The very technology that gives human society the potential to produce the basic necessities of life for all, at a higher level than has ever existed, in the hands of the capitalist class leads to the ruin of the vast majority. The private ownership of the means of production—that is, the basic industrial infrastructure of society—breeds a competition that inevitably results in misery for billions, depression, and war.

Competition compels every capitalist to use every means to survive, from fundamental attacks on wages and working conditions, to speed-up and plant-closures or relocations, to "legally" looting government treasuries through tax policies that boost profit rates.

Technological advances, in the context of a collectively owned and democratically organized society—that is, socialism—means the efficient, safe, clean, and environmentally sound use of science for the benefit of all. It means a reduced work day for everyone and a simultaneous rise in the standard of living. It means a society of abundance and the prioritization of human needs at every level from free quality education and health care for all to an advance in culture never before seen in history.

The introduction of technology in the framework of capitalist production, Marx explained, means ruin for the vast majority, including mass unemployment, poverty, environmental destruction, and war. Competition drives the flailing capitalists to every corner of the globe in search of cheap labor and raw materials. U.S. plants move from the unionized North to the low-wage South, to Mexico, to Guatemala, and then to China—where workers can be had for six cents an hour.

The process is repeated until all the world's markets are saturated with plants whose products can't be sold at a profit and are closed down. Each capitalist country places the wealth and resources of its state at the disposal of its own ruling class. European nations are compelled to unite against the top dog United States—just as smaller corporations are compelled to unite against larger corporate entities.

The last time such a phenomenon came to its climax, the solution was world war, as the major competitors fought to redivide the planet to insure their own interests and survival. At the end of the conflagration in 1945, 44 million lay dead and whole cities were incinerated.

On the ashes of this imperialist barbarism the U.S. emerged victorious with its major "enemies" and "allies" destroyed, temporarily driven out of the deadly race for profits.

The world has now been rebuilt with even more advanced technology producing commodities that can easily meet all human needs and provide for a stellar standard of living never achieved before. Instead, the imperialist nations are once again preparing for war to protect the interests of their respective ruling classes and their system of exploitation and minority rule. Three such wars in almost as many years have already recorded the system's death agony.

But Marx's prediction has once again come to the fore. "Capitalism produces its own gravediggers," he said, with confidence and certainty. And indeed this has been the case.

Working people across the globe have come to understand that they have nothing in common with those whose very being depends on their exploitation and oppression. Whole continents, like Latin America, have come alive with massive mobilizations aimed at driving the exploiting few from power and establishing egalitarian societies. The fightback has begun.

The very working classes created by the capitalist system are beginning to challenge the status quo once again, as they search for solutions that can only be found outside the bounds of the system itself. The building of a mass socialist movement, deeply integrated into the struggles of the working masses and all their allies among the oppressed, is the precondition to capitalism's abolition. Socialism or barbarism are the alternatives facing humanity today.

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