The Skeptical Attitude

February 12, 2000 (Abraham Lincoln's REAL birthday)

The Polar Bear highly recommends a skeptical attitude toward just about everything as a prerequisite for finding the truth. Although some skepticism must even be allowed of the views of the professed skeptics themselves, as they sometimes confuse "scientific knowledge" with their own prejudices, nonetheless it is far better to admit that one knows nothing for sure that is not absolutely true then to sacrifice one's public credibility by being caught following something which is manifestly not true. Often the derivation of anything true in any particular situation involves a process of elimination of that which is not true.

I recently received this interesting piece from Eric Krieg of the Skeptics Society, largely concerning Uri Geller. But Eric starts off talking about other fetishes that pass for "revealed knowledge" and are usually uncritically accepted as true even though there isn't any rational correlation that could serve as a basis for reliance on them as true.

From: Eric Krieg <eric@voicenet.com>

People,

I know this isn't a statistical sample - but "people into natural foods are the most sickly people I have ever met". Two guys I know at work are both into it both have all kinds of health problems and miss lots of days. Maybe they are covering other personal problems with reliance on "natural foods". I'd wonder about someone who missed too many days of work for whatever reason. If they're really ill, I'd suggest they go see a doctor. I remember a friend from Toastmasters who was into megavitamin therapy died a year after giving a promotional speech on the topic. And Jim Fixx who popularized running died of a heart attack while running. The youngest relative of mine who died was also the only one I know who was into health foods. The people into the health food store that I occasionally visit look like freaks, flakes or are chronically depressed. Some of them may indeed be sick and are seeking out help in weird diet fads, etc. But I suspect that there are other factors including what they read, listened to and thought about, factors that made up their outlook on life, that have adversely affected their health and as such they are impervious to the benefits of "natural foods" whether any benefits really exist or not. I know this isn't nice to say, so what? and yes it is not a controlled study - but at 40 years old, having met 100's of people, I feel entitled to a few prejudices. I have eight years on you and I completely agree, LOL.

Does anyone remember the ebullient magician Doug Henning? I believe he was into natural foods and he was very big into transcendental meditation with that fruity Indian guru Maharishi Mahesh Yogi - well - he just died at age 42. So much for all his "mind over matter" talk. He might have yelled back, from wherever he may be, "we're all mystics and your mind is meat!"

Eric Krieg eric@phact.org

http://www.phact.org/e/more.htm

The Polar Bear presents the following article as passed along by Eric Krieg for your edification and enjoyment.

The following is reproduced from the skeptic society newsletter:

GELLER ON TONIGHT SHOW

On New Year's day I had this momentary flash of insight that with the new year perhaps things were going to change and that the nonsense and silliness that passes for serious claims in our culture might actually begin to attenuate and we at the Skeptics Society could concentrate our efforts on more mainstream scientific controversies.

Alas, I was hallucinating. Just days into the new year I was jolted back into reality when none other than the 1970's spoon-bending sensation Uri Geller appeared on the Tonight Show with Jay Leno, the number one late night talk show with something on the order of 10 million viewers. We were tipped off that he was appearing, and for two days we did everything we could to warn Leno to apply some basic controls to prevent Geller from using standard magic tricks that he could pass off as psychic powers. To no avail. Even our videographer who works at NBC, who spent hours trying to get to the right people, kept hitting brick walls. No one at NBC cared or wanted to hear from us. This is an entertainment show, Geller was going to entertain the public, so what difference does it make what he claims and what is true? Leno opened the segment with the usual disclaimer: "Some say he is just a magician, others say he has special powers. You be the judge."

"You be the judge." Those four simple words have become the ultimate statement of irresponsibility. Here is what that phrase means: "We hereby disclaim any and all responsibility for what the next guest claims. It is our purpose to get viewers to watch our show between and through commercials and nothing else. If our guests hoodwink us and bamboozle you that's tough luck for you. Buyer beware. That's entertainment so enjoy the show!"

What was truly amazing about Geller's "performance" was how unoriginal it was. He did the same act he's been doing for a quarter of a century--starting broken watches and reproducing a hidden drawing. That says a lot about American audiences, doesn't it? Americans can be fooled over and over again by the same tricks. You don't even need to be creative. Professional magicians work hard to come up with new routines and original presentations so as not to bore audiences. Apparently you don't have to do this when you are claiming to have special powers.

To the undying credit of Leno's predecessor, Johnny Carson, when he had Geller on he first consulted with James Randi, who prepped Carson and the producers on how to prevent Geller from using magic tricks to perform his "psychic" power demonstrations. Lo and behold, wouldn't you know it?--no magic tricks allowed and Geller's psychic powers mysteriously disappeared. Apparently Leno would have none of that.

I will grant Geller credit for being an entertaining guest. He is light and funny, laughs a lot, has a big toothy smile--all the stuff TV talk shows like. And I will confess to laughing out loud with his little story about how he got a letter from a woman who said she got pregnant because Uri psychically bent her IUD. I even suspect Uri may be telling the truth about getting such a letter since, although it is possible he made it up, there are enough goofy people out there that someone might just have written him such a letter.

First Geller demonstration: reproduce a drawing made by a guest of the show (the original drawing was made backstage of course). We were told that actor Tim Robbins had made a drawing and carefully folded it and put it in his back pocket. Geller made it clear that he and Robbins were not working together. What is not disclosed, of course, is what the circumstances were of the making of the original drawing. (In the next issue of Skeptic magazine Pat Linse will present James Randi's greatest moment on television when he duplicates a drawing made by Barbara Walters right there live on stage, just as well as Geller had just done moments before.)

After the show I was surprised by the number of e-mails and calls I received from skeptics and scientists who don't know how this simple trick is done. One of my board members told me "I have to admit what Geller did was really spooky." Another reader speculated that perhaps Geller can watch the eye movements of his subject, and that when the subject is thinking about the drawing his eyes trace out the drawing! Alas, explanations of magic generally follow Occam's razor: no need to multiply beyond necessity the complexity of the explanation, AKA parsimony. The drawing duplication is one of the simplest, and there are numerous ways to do it:

1. Use psychic powers to read your subject's mind. Geller may do it this way, but he might have also chosen to . . .

2. Have the subject make a drawing on a pad of paper. Instruct him to tear off the top sheet and fold it and hide it so you can't see it. When he gives you back the pad the impression of the drawing is on the sheet below. You can say something like "be sure to make it clear so everyone can see it" to get them to press hard on the pad. Or . . .

3. We all have checks chemically treated so that they leave an impression on the next sheet below. You can get special pads of paper like this. Or . . .

4. Get a special clipboard with a carbon sheet beneath the top layer that you peel back after your subject makes his drawing on top of it. Or . . .

5. Peek when the drawing is being made. Or . . .

6. Watch the top of the pen as it traces out the drawing. Or . . .

7. Use a confederate to help you get the drawing. Or . . .

8. The psychology of people: most will draw a house or a happy face.

These are all in magic books, as well as others, but since so many people out there were wondering how Geller can do such "spooky" things I thought it would be instructive to share just a few of these with you.

Second Geller demonstration: Start broken watches. Jay presents Geller with a tray of watches. We do not know where the watches came from or if they are truly all "broken." Geller grabs a handful of them and commands them to "work," then commands the audience to yell "work," then tells the viewing audience to get their broken watches, hold them in their hands, and yell "work." Geller then exclaims that one of the watches he has is working. Was it one of the original watches or did he just have a watch of his own that he added to the bunch when he grabbed them? Jay exclaims when he looks at the watch that it is indeed working. But did Jay check before to make sure that all the watches were marked so that Geller could not add his own to the batch? There appeared to be no controls. But, frankly, it isn't even necessary to cheat on this one. When shaken lots of old watches will start ticking again for a few seconds or minutes--long enough to get a TV talk show host very excited.

Overall Leno seemed genuinely impressed with Geller's performance and, if I am correct in my interpretation of television ethics and integrity, that made for a successful show.

NOTE TO MARCELLO TRUZZI: Truzzi, when you forward this posting to Uri with your suggestion that he consult with his attorneys, be sure to tell him that I welcome his feedback and that I would be happy to post his reply to this group. I guarantee they would be most interested in what he has to say for himself. Perhaps Uri would even be willing to tell us which technique he used to duplicate the drawing: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7, or 8. Which technique do you think he used Truzzi?

Had I been there I would have insisted that Tim make a drawing right there on stage out of Uri's sight, and then have Geller try to "see" the drawing on his mental "TV screen." My hypothesis is that under controlled conditions Geller's "psychic" powers would have suddenly disappeared. Of course, I could be wrong. Since Geller apparently has no interest in Randi's million dollar challenge, I'll offer him my $3,000 titanium racing bicycle. If Geller takes up my challenge and passes the test under controlled conditions, I'll have to go back to my old rusty steel bike. Uri, I'll even throw in my heart-rate monitor. If you pass the test I won't be needing it.

LEGAL DISCLAIMER FOR GELLER AND HIS ATTORNEYS: This analysis does not prove, of course, that Geller used one of these techniques of magic. He may very well have used number one and applied psychic power to read the mind of Tim Robbins. Yes sir, technically speaking, there is a chance that this is how he did it. But if he did, as Randi says, he is doing it the hard way.

The best disclaimer ever written in this regard comes from Penn and Teller's book HOW TO PLAY WITH YOUR FOOD, in their section on spoon bending: "In these descriptions, any particular bumbling spoon-bending has-been may pop into your mind. I guess it might be possible that the example you happen to be thinking of might-could-maybe-possibly be the one-in-a-kachillion-outside-chance-of-a-snowball-lasting-a-month-of-Sundays-inside-a-burning-gas-kiln-in-hell be real. We haven't seen every spoonbender on every second of his or her life. We just haven't seen or heard of one of them doing anything that seemed to us like anything other than bush-league sleight of hand. We have to be careful though. When these twerps lose their ability to support themselves with public and private 'experiments' (they never call them 'shows,' we guess because they're not entertaining enough), they can decide to turn to litigation. So, let us say right here, Penn and Tell haven't seen or heard about any real psychic spoon-bending, but if we do, we'll happily change our collective mind. We'll want to see it done in front of a panel that is educated in magic, and it should be on videotape and we'd love to see it under oath in a court of law. Maybe by the time this book comes out some of these swine will have had their days in court and proven they have supernatural powers. We'll be red-faced but we'll admit we were wrong. You may not notice our embarrassment, however, because everyone will be too busy throwing out all scientific knowledge and starting over. Our lawyer says we need to make it clear that spoon-bending COULD be proved to be a real power. And maybe that same day Porky Pig will appear incarnate and fly around the courtroom. Hey man, it could happen."

Hey man, amen!

BTW, Geller will be on Martin Short's talk show tonight (UPN). It airs at 11:00 pm EST and PST. But check local listings. The producers would not return our calls for this appearance either.

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Michael Shermer

Publisher

mailto:skepticmag@aol.com

http://www.skeptic.com

Copyright 1999 by Michael Shermer and the Skeptics Society. Copies of this internet posting may be made and distributed in whole without further permission. Credit: This has been another edition of SkepticMag Hotline, the internet edition of Skeptic magazine and the cyberspace voice of the Skeptics Society. For further information about the magazine and society, contact P.O. Box 338, Altadena, CA 91001; 626/794-3119 (phone); 626/794-1301 (fax); skepticmag@aol.com and www.skeptic.com or send your message telepathically and we will respond in kind. For those of your not familiar with the Skeptics Society or have not seen Skeptic magazine, see our web page: http://www.skeptic.com