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venezuela in crisis

U.S. imperialism's opposition to the Hugo Chavez populist government is central to understanding the boldness of the Venezuelan ruling class, middle class and military elements that seek to bring it down. Emboldened by this support, lip service to constitutional and democratic rule has disappeared from the utterances of Venezuela's elite. With U.S. backing and doubtless behind-the-scenes maneuvers with the anti-Chavez wing of the military, a "negotiations" process is underway between the U.S.-backed would-be coup makers and Chavez's government.

Repeated ruling class-initiated mass demonstrations aimed at securing Chavez's resignation have been matched on a regular basis by significantly larger mobilizations of workers and the poor in support of Chavez and against another coup. A near civil war situation prevails but with each side momentarily lacking either the might or will, as in the case of Chavez, to break the current deadlock.

From direct involvement in and embarrassing public support to the first coup attempt, the U.S. is now backing (a more accurate word might be "fostering") a reactionary national boss's strike aided by a handful of corrupt labor union aristocrats. Their immediate aim is to force an early election in spite of constitutional prohibitions against the date demanded.

Despite Chavez's pro-capitalist politics and his incapacity to mobilize the working class masses and the poor in a decisive showdown with Venezuelan capital, his presidency still represents a threat to America's capitalist rulers. More than anything, imperialism fears the kind of social instability wherein the masses themselves enter the field of action in their own name, in pursuit of their own interests and with their own leadership. The latter factor, an experienced revolutionary leadership rooted in the struggles of the oppressed and exploited, is critically absent in Venezuela today. Whether or not it can be constructed in the short time that remains before a more decisive coup attempt is initiated, is the central question in Venezuelan politics.

If there ever was an example of the absolute limitation of capitalist politicians, even of the most left variety, and even when faced with the most catastrophic of consequences, the Chavez regime is it. Chavez, whose very mild reforms were undertaken without a major challenge to capital, has thus far proved incapable of appealing for decisive action from the masses. The mass mobilizations he has supported have undoubtedly stayed the hand of the boss class who would not step back from a bloody solution if the opportunity presented itself.

Chavez fruitlessly publishes multiple copies of the Venezuelan constitution for foreign distribution to convince world "opinion," that is, the heads of state of other capitalist countries, that his refusal to accede to the boss's demand for snap elections is legal.

Chavez's potential to alter the world price of oil to the detriment of the imperialist countries, and especially the U.S., ranks high in the secret and not so secret efforts to remove him. The U.S. imports 13 percent of its oil from Venezuela and Chavez's representative on OPEC's ruling council has thwarted U.S. efforts to force this body to both increase production and lower prices.

Chavez's supplying oil to revolutionary Cuba also irks the imperialist who seek to bring down the Castro regime by economic pressure as well as overt acts of terror.

While the U.S. would like to continue to be the recipient of relatively near-by Venezuelan oil, it has subordinated this economic advantage to backing a bosses' strike that has significantly reduced or halted Venezuelaan oil exports and therefore Venezuelan income. The imperialists have calculated that the temporary loss of millions, and even more, is worth the likelihood of acquiring billions, and more, with Chavez's downfall. But the outcome is far from clear.

"U.S. Hands Off Venezuela!"

Youth for Socialist Action - fighting for a world worth living in!

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